El Niño has begun – here's why it matters for women and girls in Asia and the Pacific

Date:

Author: Trisha Albay

A person works in a field of dry, brown plants, bending forward to gather crops by hand. The person wears a green headscarf and a long-sleeved shirt, and holds a bundle of plants. Another person is partly visible behind, also working close to the ground. The field stretches into the distance, with blurred hills or mountains in the background. The light is natural, and the plants appear dry and wilted, suggesting hot or dry conditions.

A Myanmar migrant worker harvests green beans at a plantation in Mae Sot, western Thailand, on 19 November 2017. Photo: UN Women/Piyavit Thongsa-Ard

El Niño is now under way, with rising ocean temperatures expected to influence weather patterns across Asia and the Pacific in the months ahead. While attention often focuses on shrinking water supplies, crop losses and rising food prices, another story is unfolding: one that is less visible but equally urgent.

For millions of women and girls, the consequences of heat waves and drought are felt in their homes, livelihoods and daily lives.

The effects of drought are not felt equally. As food prices rise and water becomes harder to access, women are often expected to absorb the shock. They spend more time finding food and water, take on additional care responsibilities and frequently sacrifice their own nutrition to help their families cope. In some households, women and girls already eat last and least. This is particularly concerning in a region where nearly one in three women, or 32.9 per cent, was already living with anaemia before recent climate shocks.

The economic impacts are equally significant. Women are heavily represented in agriculture, informal work and other climate-sensitive sectors. Extreme heat can reduce productivity, damage crops and goods, and make outdoor work dangerous. For women farmers, vendors, factory workers and home-based workers, hotter days often translate into lower incomes and fewer opportunities to earn a living. Research from South Asia found that heat stress can reduce the incomes of women home-based workers by as much as 30 per cent.

A person stands in a busy outdoor market, holding a stack of flat woven mats on top of the head with one hand. The person wears a short-sleeved shirt and carries several long, white cords or ropes over one arm. On the left side of the image, many straw brooms hang together, showing natural beige color and textured bristles. In the background, there are vehicles and market stalls, with other people and items slightly blurred. The scene is bright and colorful, with natural daylight highlighting the woven materials and market setting.

A street vendor sells woven products in Manila, Philippines on 22 November 2023. Photo: UN Women/Pairach Homthong

At the same time, the burden of unpaid care work increases. When water sources dry up, someone must spend additional time collecting water. When food is scarce, someone must find ways to feed the family. More often than not, that someone is a woman or a girl. As households contend with the impacts of El Niño, ongoing tensions in the Middle East have also contributed to higher fuel and fertilizer costs, adding to the burdens many women already face in keeping households fed and cared for. Women already perform 80 per cent of all unpaid care work in Asia and the Pacific. As hours spent on care work rise, opportunities for paid employment, education and leadership can slip further out of reach.

The risks do not end there.

Evidence from across the region shows that heat waves and droughts can also increase the risk of gender-based violence. Economic stress, displacement, longer journeys to collect water and fuel, and harmful coping mechanisms can expose women and girls to greater danger, including child marriage, trafficking, sexual violence and intimate partner violence. Rising temperatures have been linked to higher rates of child marriage, as some families turn to marriage as a way of coping with economic and environmental stress.

As countries prepare for El Niño-related impacts, climate action must go beyond weather forecasts and emergency response. It must recognize that climate risks are experienced differently by women, men, girls and boys.

Investing in gender-responsive early warning systems, supporting women farmers with climate-resilient technologies, partnering with women-led organizations, addressing unpaid care burdens and integrating gender-based violence prevention into disaster preparedness can help communities withstand the next heat wave or drought before it becomes a crisis.

El Niño may be a recurring climate phenomenon. The inequalities it exposes do not have to be.

Learn more:

Gender Alert: The 2026 El Niño and Compounding Crises in Asia and the Pacific

The Asia-Pacific region is currently facing the onset of a strong 2026 El Niño event, overlapping with severe economic shocks stemming from the 2026 Middle East escalation. This Gender Alert examines how these intersecting crises are affecting women and girls, increasing risks of poverty, food insecurity, unpaid care burdens and gender-based violence, and highlights priorities for gender-responsive anticipatory action.